Early Odds On Dolphins Chances
Odds change, and it’s early, but “Vegas” isn’t high on Dolphins success.
Hopefully, the Odds are still succumbing to the memory of Philbust.
Just over a month ago, the numbers were released on the early odds for teams to win the Super Bowl, each Conference, Division, and each team’s over/under for Regular Season Wins.
As expected, the sports books are not giving the Dolphins much of a chance this upcoming season. However, the year before, the Dolphins were a trendy sleeper pick to win the AFC East, and we all know how that turned out. So, just because the odds are predicting one thing, it’s not a certified outcome.
In regards to the Dolphins chances of winning the upcoming Super Bowl, the Dolphins are ranked very close to the bottom of the league, with only a few teams having worse odds then the Dolphins current 60 to 1 odds. Only the 49ers, Browns, Chargers, Eagles, Lions, and Titans have worse odds to win the Super Bowl. While I’m not blinded enough by my fandom to think the Dolphins have a legitimate shot to win the Super Bowl, I do think Miami has better chances over a couple of teams ahead of them.
In terms of winning the AFC Conference, the best sportsbooks in the world have the Dolphins at 30 to 1 odds. Only the Browns and the Titans have worse predicted odds. Again, I obviously think Miami is a long shot to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, but I also don’t think that they are going to be the third worst team in the entire AFC Conference. Of course I, like the odds makers, have been wrong before – but on this one I am not: I hope.
For those who are interested, and like me (until this article) are somewhat uninformed about how the “odds” in betting, I’ll use the AFCE Division demonstrate. The New England Patriots are the clear favorites to win at -200, which means you would need to risk $200 to win $100. Whereas the Dolphins have the worst odds of the four AFC East teams at +1200, which means if you bet $100 for them to win the division you would win $1200. The Jets and the Bills are both +550, which means if someone bets $100 they would win $550.
I think the Dolphins winning the division will take a lot of breaks, but I also think they won’t end up last in the division, again. Of the other 3 teams, I believe that the Jets seem to be the weakest of the bunch, and simply on QB play alone Miami should finish with a better record.
The Dolphins Regular Season win total is set at 7, which means the odds makers are not expecting the Dolphins to win more than 7 games. Considering that the Dolphins have one of the toughest opening schedules in the league, there is no mystery why many people are not expecting much from the Dolphins. But, the Dolphins usually play better against better teams, so maybe the harder schedule will carry a silver lining and end up helping them to be a better overall team (lucky Dan Marino card clutched tightly as I one-hand-type the sentence).
The Dolphins do have a lot of young talent on their roster, so if they get even a little lucky in the health department, added to better coaching, Miami will come away with some surprise victories and defy the odds – maybe not for the Super Bowl and conference, but at least for the win totals and the division. It’s still the off season, so hope is eternal – I can’t wait to find out if that hope materializes. Go Fins!!!
I’m sorry guys, but I like the look of the squad. My only real concern is at LB, and yes if Jordan is reinstated and can play to his potential this will be huge. I’m not saying we are going to win anything but I think we are better than 8-8. I can honestly see 10 wins, don’t ask against who, but I can see it.
Offensively the line looks nice especially with Tunsil. The RB’s look quick and as for the receivers, if they are not scaring people then I do not know what will. Tanny is Tanny but Gase will only help there. We may not have superstars at the DB position but they are capable, even if they are only OK, then I will take that right now. I think the whole defence thing will rest with the line and how much pressure they can get. If they play as good as they look then this will help the DB’s
Well that is my 2 pennies worth.
Hey, Ray. I like the squad too, but that’s in theory, as with the coaching. Until we get to see, it’s hard for me to stick my foot in the ground. Alonso will play middle and will be quite good – IF healthy. The SLB is the problem. Jenkins has had a very good year and a Meh one, so this will be the determiner. But, Misi at SLB is good at run D but terrible at Pass and sub par at pass rush. That is a problem. CB’s this year are zone guys that need to work small space, be smart and redirect at the snap. I think they will do. So I agree. But, the load ?’s makes it hard to say where we will land, especially when you’ll get I told you so’s from thousand places where you post. Just one – if Ajayi fails or gets injured, then a lot of ugly dominoes begin to fall due to lack of talent and depth at the position. I’ll make a firm stand once I see more- but to save egg on my face I am waiting till camp. BUT, something in me is saying I am going to like this season…
…I’ll be happy with an 8-8 split
…so much depends on yet unknowns
…so many bets on prior injuries being healed
…so many bets on injury histories not recurring
…so much riding on Jordan earning a starting LB position and playing like his draft ratings
…who the hell knows how Tannehill will respond to the new coaches/offense
…will the OL finally gel
…will the DL play to potential
…do we have ANY CBs worth a damn
…will Jones show up to play
…if more than a few of the answers are positive, we could be a bad ass team
…but like I said …8-8 would make me happy this year, especially if the offense gets it together
…think ’17 will be the year of the defense and our first real push since ’08
…but then we could be looking for a QB at #1 next year just as well …hope not
Yeah, we know of the “IF’s”…and it’s funny how there are even more of them after the draft. I think this is the “Money Ball” approach that is sweeping the copy cat league. There is a huge range for Miami: trash to very good and anywhere in between. If they are competent, win the vast majority in the ones they should win and fight hard till the end in most they lose, I’ll be content regardless, unless it’s 5 wins or less. This next month and a half might can’t move quick enough…