Odds say the ‘Tank’ is on despite Flores’ statements to the contrary
Miami’s immediate future doesn’t appear bright… depending on how you view ‘the plan’.
No surprise that the Dolphins have the lowest number of any team in the league at a win total of only 5 games with a line of -130 on the under.
The line is 5 over even money and 5 under is -130. This means the favorite is for the Dolphins to win 5 or fewer games. You’d have to gamble $130 on the under to win $100, whereas the over would take a risk of a $100 to win $100.
No other team has 5 games as the over / under in the league.
The best football software providers like www.AcePerHead.com, have set their odds on the win totals of every NFL team for the 2019 Season.
The next worst projection is the Arizona Cardinals at 5½ under -140. After that the Giants are 6 under -150 and Bills are 6 over -130.
In addition, the Dolphins are also the biggest underdogs at +4000 to win the AFC East Division.
This means that if you risk $100 for the Dolphins to win the AFC East and they take the division, then you’ll win $4,000. The obvious favorite is the New England Patriots at -600, then the Jets at +750 and Bills at +1200.
The oddsmakers think little of the Dolphins chances next season… But nothing is set in stone.
However, this is all to be expected.
Frankly, if we don’t flop and win over 5 games next year, then something didn’t go according to the long-term plan.
Sure, Miami could find a QB in the draft this year who turns into a rising star overnight. Whether it’s the 1st Round or beyond, finding franchise quarterback take equal parts skill and luck. Do we have the right measure of either… much less both? I hope we do… but most teams don’t.
So barring a minor miracle, the plan is to get younger and build this team from the bottom up and be in the position to get a top tier QB in the 2020 or 2021 Draft.
Phins have forced themselves into drafting exceedingly well to be successful. Only by nailing this draft can they break expectations. This is another long shot. Miami has plenty of positions to fill before the beginning of training camp. This team isn’t even near ready to fill its Week 1 roster. With this many holes, it’s hard to believe they can shock the oddsmakers as they did in 2016 under Gase.
But that run was complete surprise, so anything is possible… I guess.
Grier’s decision not to go to the garbage bin of Free Agency and overpay shows Miami is focusing on two things:
The first is that Phins want to acquire compensatory draft picks for 2020. Miami is poised to receive 2 or 3 extra picks for the players they lost to Free Agency this offseason. Signing a free agent now, unless they’ve been cut, will negate or lower the round of an awarded pick. Miami is ‘doin’ good’ by sitting tight to stockpile more picks for 2020.
Secondly, Miami will fill out the roster with 2019 Draft Picks and several undrafted rookies. Miami has done pretty well with undrafted rookies in the past. This year, Grier and Co. will need to be far more successful to fill this team with cheap and young players.
None of this makes me think that the oddsmakers are wrong about their predictions… unless we have a special Front Office and coaching staff in South Florida.
Do we?
What are the rest of the Miami Dolphins News fans thoughts about whether Miami will actually win 5 games or fewer next year?
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