Moore has a long shot to both shock the world and increase his value going into FA
Jay Cutler failed Concussion Protocol late Thursday and is a scratch for the Pats game. Whether this was an attempt by Adam Gase to force the New England Patriots to prepare for two QB’s, or Cutler’s push to start was real and was thwarted by injury, no one knows.
But what’s certain is Matt Moore will start, and the Fins will be razor thin at QB.
Fins Fans craving for Moore to start will get their wish… and this time it won’t be with a single, walk-through practice to prepare, like the Ravens game. Will this outing look better? Very likely. Will it lead to a win? Very unlikely.
First, let’s clear something up: if the Pats win it will be with offense, because their defense isn’t good (those bastards will likely play lights out on D to spite me). Pats lead the league in yards allowed per game with 401. Their impact plays on defense are also way, way down with 8 picks (18th) and 17 sacks (27th). Overall they are 11th in points (20.3), 31st in pass yards (293 per gm), and 24th in rushing allowed (119 per gm).
So Moore damn well better have a good performance. And if he does, it shouldn’t be an indictment against Cutler or Gase–not yet. But it sure as hell wouldn’t hurt the case that the Dolphins might have been better to run with Moore over Cutler this season.
The knock on Moore is he makes a few too many big mistakes
Pats offense is another story with a points per game ranking at 5th, 1st in pass yards, and 16th in rushing. And as a team they have a turn over differential of +8 (4th).
While the Dolphins have had substantial improvement on offense since Ajayi’s departure, they rank in the bottom 3rd of the league in all major offensive categories and are 30th in turnover differential at -9.
The name of Miami’s game has been as sloppy as a truck stop toilet… and the Pats, as of late, are ship shape.
Up until a few weeks ago, the Patriots had been playing sloppy football and were ranked in the bottom third of the league in penalties committed. Since then, they have battened down the hatches and are now 5th in least screw ups.
On the other hand, the Dolphins were in the bottom 3rd in most committed penalties, and have gone from bad to worse as they are just one better than the bottom of the barrel at 31st. Their point differential is ranked 30th at -9. The Pats once again let you beat yourself and the Fins are masochists beating themselves silly week after week.
Moore must reduce his stupid throws into triple coverage
Do I think that the Fins can win? No–not until Sunday, when I get blind with fandom… but damn I really, really would love to.
I do like this new look Offensive Line makeup against this defense, and Moore has the tools to cut into this secondary. But even blind love has trouble believing that the Miami defense can slow or harass Brady enough to make a difference.
The long, long shot wildcard will be LB Stephone Anthony‘s coverage of the TE’s… but I’m not betting my house on it with the best pay per head sites on it.
The only snow cone chance in a volcano that Miami wins is if they have less than 3 penalties and beat the Pats in turnovers… I’m betting on Lotto for better odds. But no matter what, and especially against the Pats: Go Fins!!!
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