If the tank talk is correct, Tua is the Phins target
There’s no mystery how the Miami Dolphins 2019 Season will go. The Phins are a ‘bottom of the barrel’ team who are setting themselves up to draft one of the top QB’s in the 2020 draft. Tua Tagovailoa is currently at the head of the class.
Yes, other college QBs such as Justin Herbert, Jake Fromm, Jacob Eason, and others could make a case for themselves as the college season progresses. But, ‘Tanking for Tua’ seems the most likely outcome.
Miami has competition for Tua
However, as bad as Miami has been so far, there are five other teams that have yet to win a game this season. The Jets, Bengals, Broncos, Redskins, and Cardinals (who have a tie on their record) are all winless just like the Dolphins.
The Jets, Broncos, Redskins, and Cardinals all used high draft picks in 2019 to select a QB, so they aren’t suitors. Only the Bengals pose a serious threat to draft Tua. But, these other teams that ‘don’t need a QB’, they can still sink the Phins ‘Tank for Tua’ with a trade back to another team looking for a young signal-caller.
Regardless of how it turns out the best pay per head software is betting Miami will be in a position to get one of the top QBs. But, unless Miami goes 0-16, they are in serious jeopardy to lose out on Tua.
Is Tua Worth the Tank?
As gaudy as Tua’s stats have been in college, it’s important to remember that he is playing on one of the most talented teams in college football. Some might say Alabama has more talent than Miami. Alabama is projected to have as many as 7 players get drafted in the 1st Round alone. If this does happen it will break the all-time record of 6 players drafted in the 1st Round from one school.
That’s a ton of talent for a QB to be surrounded by.
At receiver alone, Alabama has three pass catchers in Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs III, and DeVonta Smith with the potential to be a number 1 wide receiver in the NFL.
Tua won’t have that luxury in South Florida.
I watched the Alabama game this past weekend, and Tua did look good. He moved well in the pocket, felt the pressure, reacted quickly, and threw some nice balls. Tua put up video game type stats going 26 out of 36 for 418 yards and 6 touchdowns. On the downside, he was also off target on a few easy throws.
How much does the talent around Tua help him?
However, if anyone watched this game, they would know the real star of the game was WR DeVonta Smith. Smith scored touchdowns every which way on his 11 catch, 274 yards, and 5 touchdowns day. Three of the scores were special. There was a 74-yard T.D., another he was knocked off balance but stayed in bounds and scored, and one where Smith played Superman and out jumped a player for the touchdown.
No offense to Tua, but this wide receiver group certainly pad his stat line.
Yes, Miami will be loaded with draft picks and money to spend in Free Agency. So there’s that. But Tua has been part of the Alabama winning culture for the last couple of years, we don’t know how Tua will fare without top talent around him. Of course, there is also the question of is he even willing to sign to a team that brings as much adversity as the Dolphins? Could he pull and Eli Manning and refuses to play for Miami? That would be an epic insult and disaster for the Phins?
Picking a QB is a tricky thing
All this isn’t to say Miami should or shouldn’t draft Tua. I do like the kid. Rather, it’s to say ‘Tanking for Tua’ isn’t a guaranteed road to a Super Bowl. Fans and this regime can’t fixate on just one plan. Nothing is guaranteed.
There’s no ‘can’t miss college QB prospect’. Tua could be elite… or not. This is why going all-in on ‘Tanking for Tua’ is a very risky path. Both the fans and the regime need to prepare for plenty of monkey wrenches along the way.
Let’s hope they know what they are doing…
… or it might take another tank job in 2020 Season to get it right.
What are the rest of the Miami Dolphins news fans thoughts about Tua?
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