A full season of film on Josh Rosen is now under our belt
Watching Josh Rosen for a full season behind a totally inept Offensive Line and throwing to receivers with a case bad case of the dropsies added a ton of context to his ugly rookie stat line.
Let me emphasize this point… Rosen was sacked 45 times over 14 starts! This is 15 more sacks than any of his fellow rookie starters. Also, Arizona was dead last in total team rush yards and YPC.
Not much help for a rookie… not much at all.
Now my quickdraw summation is there’s no doubt that the floor for his production is no less than the 2nd Round Pick they paid for him. A decent starter or good backup for the 62nd pick would be a solid win for the franchise. Unfortunately, Miami will only have a bright future with Rosen under center if he’s much closer to the value the Cards spent on him with the 10th overall pick.
But, the good news is Rosen showed plenty in his rookie film, especially given all the impediments to his success: Two bad OCs along with poor support on the field. If he can fix the mental errors in his game and the staff is thoughtful on his development, Rosen’s acquisition certainly has the potential to be a steal for the Miami Dolphins.
Ahhh, that dangerous word again: Potential.
While that word is an ugly one, often full of disappointment for Miami, in Rosen’s case there’s a bit more legit than pie in the sky. But, he isn’t the next Dan Marino either… let’s get that straight.
There will never be another Dan Marino–Ever.
Okay, onto to the film… with links to the video:
In Part I of “Finding the Real Josh Rosen” the first six games were covered. Unfortunately, the video of that film was restricted by the NFL and could only be viewed through YouTube. Many missed it. This hyperlink here will take you to that film study… in case you didn’t see the fine print notice by YouTube when the video was clicked.
Here is the link to the 2nd film study of the last 7 games. In this one, I added some plays in this one where Rosen showed outstanding pocket awareness and movement to evade the rush or get the ball off. He turned out to be far more slippery than I had expected. Night and day with former Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill in that regard.
Over the entire 14 games the strengths that stood
- Elite arm, able to drive the ball accurately on deep outs, over the top, and the deep middle
- Ability to adjust the speed of throws to help receivers
- Mobility in the pocket, the instinct to evade the rush and climb the ‘ladder’ while keeping his eyes downfield
- Toughness and willingness to take a hit to get the pass off
- Even-keeled personality… although, maybe too even-keeled
- Gunslinger mentality
Say what you want, but many of Rosen’s strengths are ‘have it or not’ talents that nearly all the greats possess. Arm strength, guts, accuracy, toughness to take the hits are in your DNA or not. These traits Rosen has in spades. Of course, so did Jeff George. It takes more than these gifts to be a great QB. Still, you have to be in it to win it.
Thankfully, most of Rosen’s warts are common in rookie QBs and could be minimized through quality coaching. But a few of his weaknesses are hardwired into him and will hamper Rosen throughout his career.
Over the entire 14 games the flaws that stood out
- Late delivery (correctable)
- Slow to go through Progressions (correctable)
- Not a vocal leader (hardwired?)
- Hit and miss on boots and roll out passes (hardwired see graphic below)
- Ton of tipped passes (correctable)
- A tendency to stare down receivers (correctable)
- Wild throws to the short left side of the field (possibly correctable)
- Gunslinger mentality forced the ball into very tight coverage (hardwired)
- Sloppy ball handling from the center and on impact (correctable)
Again, many of Rosen’s flaws can be corrected with good coaching and a willingness to work on his craft. While it’s not a sure bet with the bookie software services, like Ace Pay Per Head, that either is certain to happen, I do like the odds better than years past. What I can say is despite the talk of him being a quitter and afraid of competition, this isn’t the case. He was giving it his all through Week 17. I don’t worry about him being soft in the least.
If you put my toes to the fire and force me to give a range of what Rosen can be, I’d say he has a floor of 7 and a ceiling of 8.5 out of 10. Now, what WILL he be? That’s THE story of 2019. Go Phins!!!
What does the film show you?
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