‘Patience’ With Chris Grier Through The ‘Process’
“A Good Process Produces Good Results”: Nick Saban
I read the other day in a blog I follow that Chris Grier ‘deserves’ patience.
Let me make this clear in no uncertain terms: Everything is earned in football.
Dan Marino, Don Shula, Bryan Cox, Jason Taylor, Zach Thomas, Cameron Wake… they deserved patience because they earned it through their production. But many of these great Dolphins didn’t receive their fair share of ‘patience’.
What Chris Grier deserves, and the only thing he’s earned is
fair evaluation through his process…
The ‘Process’ in broad terms:
Offseason and preseason:
Evaluation of the team followed by an implementation of the vision through additions of talent and staff which is refined by the consolidation of what’s effective and expulsion of the ineffective.
Regular Season and Post Season:
Testing the theory in practical situations with the goal of exceeding the prior season’s production.
In KISS format: Keep the arrow pointing up, year by year, with a team that’s shipshape.
Mistakes can destroy even good coaches during the process
A ‘good process’ must produce good results. This is why Nick Saban ran from the Dolphins. Saban has an explicit understanding of the process… but his legendary blunder from the medical side of the process doomed his regime. Production is the fruits of the philosophical side of the process… and in this case, a single choice crushed the regime.
Yet, you can bet with the pay per head bookie services like AcePerHead.com that there was a synergy in this failure from the practical and theoretical sides of his process.
Saban would have been best served to stick to the philosophy of a good process by only taking the Quarterback he believed in. Instead, in desperation to win and feed his ego, Saban went with Culpepper. Ego and emotion always undermine the process. The correct move, according to the philosophy of a good process, was to be patient and wait for the right opportunity to present itself.
Football always is and will be based on production.
So Saban’s failings sprung from failures on the philosophical side of the process. These process failings became visible to fans through poor production.
Saban tried to cheat the process in his need to win immediately at all costs… and lost. The moral of the ‘Drew Brees Free Agency & Miami Dolphins’ story is: Production reveals and determines if a process is good or not.
What is a fans ‘patience through the process’?
Without a doubt, Phins Fans should be prepared to offer a 2019 (and maybe 2020) mulligan to Chris Grier for the team’s win total because we won’t have a seasoned and quality Quarterback and the team will be in transition.
Still, Grier’s hire for Head Coach, Free Agent decisions, and draft picks should be graded with little to no curve. Grier has been with the Dolphins for twenty years and has been General Manager for two.
Grier has had plenty of time to cut your teeth at his job, and there’s no reason he shouldn’t hit the ground running.
Year 1 and 2 of Grier’s reign may have low win totals, but, despite losing seasons, the team could still be on the right track. As an example, in Pete Carroll’s 1st two seasons he went 7-9. Yet the process was screaming ‘things are heading in the right direction’. You could see success coming in the production of the draft pick from Seahawks GM John Schneider. Those were two stellar drafts classes. Of course the brilliant find of Russell Wilson was the cap stone.
For those interested (and nutty), I use the Gestalt method of learning for all my evaluations.
What’s the time frame when evaluation should bring hope or fear?
While Free Agents assessment comes in a single season, draft picks and Head Coaches normally takes around two seasons for a fair evaluation. By the end of Year 2, we’ll have a good gist of what Grier is a GM. Although, if things go terrible or amazing, we could have our tell-tale signs by the end of Year 1.
Fans shouldn’t expect Grier to hit on every move… no one does that.
This draft needs to bring in more contributing players than not with their top 5 picks…. and big contracts on old players must go the way of the Dodo. This team is thin and full of holes and there will be many
Like Chris Grier, we Dolphins fans should hold to a good process in his initial evaluation. A team builder’s acumen is revealed after 2-3 seasons… though some owners hold out hope longer than that. But the reality of production can alter the time frame of his first evaluation dramatically…
…So here’s to an excellent 2019 Draft adding rocket juice to the belief that we’re on the right track. Go Phins!!!
P.S. Despite disliking the man, this is an excellent video.
Price Per Head Tips:
- HOW CAN STUDENTS EARN MONEY WHILE IN COLLEGE?
- HOW TO MAKE MONEY WHEN YOU ARE IN A FRAT?
- HOW TO MAKE MONEY WHILE IN COLLEGE?
- GRAY AREA BUSINESSES
- HANDS DOWN YOUR BEST BET
- HUMAN INTERACTION IN THE DIGITAL ERA
- PPH CALL CENTERS: NECESSITY OR LUXURY?
- DON’T SWING AND MISS
- CHOOSING THE BEST PER HEAD SERVICE
- TOOLS TO GROW YOUR BUSINESS
Steve’s Optional Scenario Each round must be a hit. there are two Fullbacks/Running Backs who would be perfectly for the Fins in round 6 or 7 listed below. They would bring power and good blocking in the backfield.
Round 1 Tyler Murray QB Oklahoma
Round 2nd round Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
3rd Round Ben Burr-Kirven Washington
https://youtu.be/p1iBvMA5TUM
https://youtu.be/PJisA1BURlI
https://youtu.be/MrBR3uLD_Mg
4th Round
Austin Bryant Clemson , DE, Clemson https://youtu.be/0YU8_Xp8r04
5th and 6th rounders the right ones will be available
Round 7th which we done have a 7th round picked:
Pitt RB Qadree Ollison Top Plays 2018 https://youtu.be/-hDCvHad2OU
RyQuell Armstead Wake Senior Highlights FB/RB, Temple https://youtu.be/P0BjiKD-fC0
The Draft Experts have the Fins drafting:
1st Round Dexter Lawrence Clemson DL1T
2nd Round Anthony Nelson Iowa EDGE
3th Round Garrett Brumfield LSU OG
4th Round Jordan Ta’amu Ole Miss QB
5th Round Kendall Joseph Clemson OLB
6th Round Alex Wesley N Colorado WRS
7th Round: Bobby Evans Oklahoma OT
The projected 4 rounds Expert
1st Round Ed Oliver Houston
2nd Round Damien Harris Running Back Alabama
3rd Round Connor Mcgovern C/G Penn state
4th Round Darius Slaton WR/Auburn
The key is not to over reached in the draft But trading and drafting for the best players in each round.
Base on this Article that I read this is how much patience we required this season.
Super Bowl Champions The Years Before Winning Super Bowl
by CHASE STUART on JULY 1, 2018
in CHECKDOWNS
The 2017 Eagles won the Super Bowl, but the 2016 Eagles were just 7-9. That is pretty misleading: the 2016 Eagles had the best DVOA of any team in the last 30 years with a losing record, so in some ways, the ’17 season wasn’t a big surprise.
On the other hand, well, the Eagles became just the 4th team to go from a losing record to Super Bowl champion in one season. The other three teams were much worse in the prior year than the 2017 Eagles, but you can probably guess them: the 2001 Patriots, 1999 Rams, and 1981 49ers.
On average, Super Bowl champions win 12.7 games the year they win the Super Bowl (with non-16 game seasons pro-rated to 16 games), 10.9 games the year before, 9.7 the year before that, 9.5 three years before, and 9.2
If you sort the ’81 49ers, ’92 Cowboys, ’99 Rams, and ’00 Ravens come off as the biggest surprises. All but the ’92 Cowboys were mediocre or worse the year before winning it all, too. The Eagles, though, are a pretty notable outlier when it comes to N-1 results. But this is probably a good example of why record isn’t all that matters. The 2016 Eagles handed the Falcons and Steelers (the last two teams the Patriots beat to win the Super Bowl) their worst two losses of the season, and were much better than their record.
So base on these facts, We need to win 13 games to make it to the Super Bowl maybe. This is how I measure our success to the Super Bowl: 1st the Coach must be a winner, The Miami Dolphins cannot go into battle with a mediocre QB because this team will fall apart each season and that is in the month of late November to December for two decades.
A gifted no Bull Rookie Quarterback is the Key, and draft another QB each season until we are on point with the starter and the backup who can start. No we don’t need to sell the house, Grier and the Coach must know talent and developed the players. We don’t need anymore experiments etc. Thirdly a gifted offensive and defensive line with the other peaces.
Thinking in the box (We need to draft a 6’4 or taller QB who is a pocket passer like we have been doing for two decades) or We need a Dual threat QB who can Win and carry his team. This is thinking outside the box. Lamar Jackson not my favorite QB but was drafted number 32nd in the 2018 draft and is the only QB in his draft class to make the playoff.
Missed your posts on this one, sorry. They need to grab QB’s from everywhere and see who sticks in 2019. Unless a good one fall to them or is close within reach, they should wait till 2020 when they’ll likely have a higher pick. QB is a big missing piece. We haven’t even had a decent one in a long time. Tannehill was close and almost made it. The injuries and time off I think ended his career.
I agree that Chris Grier deserves us fans being patient. After three years with Tannenbaum and Gase, he now has a chance to prove that he can build this team with his own ideas and decisions. Whether things go good or bad, we the fans will know who is responsible for the decisions. Let me also add this, the past three years, I’m almost certain, Ross knew who made what decisions and when, so he must know what is attributed to Grier. So he must not have thought Grier responsible for the most grievous of the decisions.
This from Finszone via Bleacher Report:
“Chris Grier was banging the table for Xavien Howard, one of the only scouts in the room doing so. Gase and Mike had just as much say in draft picks. Ross kept tabs on who Grier would’ve taken if it was just his decision. Musta been a good list of players”
Finding a coach will be a challenge. So many better jobs out there this year. This also from Finszone:
“Coaches know the Dolphins don’t plan on being good next season. Grier needs to find someone with a plan (an identity for the team), someone who trusts that Ross will be patient, and someone who can develop talent. Build to that for the next 3-5 years, see what happens.”
You know the man who should get the chance is Darren Rizzi.
The positives: He has been running the team for the past three years considering that Gase really only paid attention to the offense. You often saw Rizzi on the sidelines managing time outs etc. He is a commanding presence in team meetings. His unit has been stellar year after year. Players RESPECT him. Being a part of the organization for the past 10 years, he knows all the problems.
The negatives: Who is he going to convince to come here to be his OC and DC. No experience on other teams so he does not really have close ties with anyone. Being a ST coach means he will have to depend on solid coordinators. Keep in mind there have been successful ST coaches who went on to success as head coaches ie Marv Levy, Bill Cowher, John Harbaugh so Rizzi being a ST coordinator does not bother me.
In a way, there is a bit of apprehension about what is about to take place, but its a fresh start. Eternal optimism. Go Dolphins!
I’m an English lit guy with a teaching minor, so take words seriously. I hate the word deserve in this case, ‘should be given’ is more appropriate. Deserve “to merit, be qualified for, or have a claim to (reward, assistance, punishment, etc.) because of actions, qualities, or situation”. Since there is a cloud of who did what, Grier has been a part of terrible for a long time. Maybe he was the only the wise voice crying out in the wilderness. I’m not saying this couldn’t be the case. But with this cloudy picture of who did what, Grier should be Given patience when it comes to wins because of the reality of the process… not patience to screw up.
I mean right now all we are hearing is Grier’s good pics… he had zero responsibility for the 2017 Draft? I was very easy going with Gase, Grier, and Tannenbaum… because I disliked Philbin so much. Not this time. We must all some latitude in my opinion, but this is an assessment and each decision must be evaluated fairly and on an individual basis. If Grier is good, then he will earn respect and patience… if he has 2017 Draft back to back… do we keep the faith for 3 more years?
Rizzi won’t get it… I think Richard’s will. Jimmy nailed it early. I really like him after I did some research. We have a chance to turn it around… but Grier my hit on his top picks for this to happen 2-3rd being the most crucial as it’s hard to totally screw up your 1st rounder.
It does not take any great thought in what the phins need to do! Number one, higher a coach that meet the standards of a winner! Let him evaluate the team needs. He or she yes he or she is the new coach!
We know the areas that we need to build on. Have the confidence in Mr. Ross and the people who help make
the philosophy of our Dolphins to be successful in the NFL!!! Other organizations have learned the process of success. We need to put our thinking outside the box. To our leaders of this organization, Have a clear vision on how we will accomplish this common goal. People who do not want to believe that this is possible! then it is time for them to leave the Dolphins TEAM. I believe in our Owner and the people who serve him! I could use countless examples, Start from the bottom and work your way to the top, hire a coach that is knowledgeable and has the same vision as our owner…. Go Phins!!!!!
Agree, Dan. But we need consistency. Good picks consistently will help bring consistency. So far, we have consistently been inconsistent… with a slight lean toward consistently picking poorly with our top picks and bringing in poor high priced FA’s. If Grier nails a QB and does decently elsewhere we’ll be fine. Otherwise, he must ace many drafts to build an excellent team around an above average QB. We are at our best starting position because Ross won’t interfere and the control is with one guy. We also, don’t need to win now because of owner pressure… still, I won’t give anything more to Grier more than a fair shake till he earns it. Right now, each decision will stack up to a realization… hopefully we are on our way to success… this hire will mean alot… but if Grier brings in excellent talent and we need to hire another coach not a big deal… getting talent is the hardest part… Grier is in control of his own fate.