Nothing but greatness will justify the extra draft capital used to trade up
I’m going to follow up on yesterday’s Jimmy Bourbon article:
When Miami traded up to the 6th Overall I was super excited! They had picked up an extra 1st and 3rd Round pick to move back three spots and were in a position to grab an elite prospect. Win-win, really! Miami desperately needs game-breakers because they don’t have nearly enough elite players to reach the postseason… much less to make hay should they get there. So, moving from the 12th spot to just outside of the Top 5 left me feeling pretty good about being able to nab something special while getting two extra blue-chip picks…
… But, more than a few Phins news fans had some very good thoughts that forced me to re-think the situation.
The move to #6 cost almost half the 49ers haul
After rolling it over in my head against recent events, I’m a bit concerned it might be harder than I originally thought to get ‘true value’ with this pick.
Thanks for bursting my bubble guys!
Now, I still think Miami is in an excellent position to get a good player however it goes. A fair point from some is these picks are freebies and Miami doesn’t need to ‘cover it’ because it’s house money. The fact they moved up has put them in the position to get a special player, which would have been less likely at #12. Also, no matter how it turns out, they netted an extra 1st and 3rd Round pick.
Both are fair points…
… But, the points from some readers… and what I’m seeing now is also a ‘caution sign’ that’s a fair point as well:
Options of ‘legitimate value’ at #6 w/ extra value attached
- Kyle Pitts (physical freak and production to match)
- Penei Sewell (physical freak at a critical position, but
- Ja’Marr Chase
- Trade back in a haul of draft picks from a desperate team (very lucky to even have the option).
- One of the leftover QB options due to the overvalue of the QB position. This is such a high-risk move due to the low rate of success with QBs and the fact Tua is on the team.
Now, if Miami misses at #6, the ‘freebie draft picks’ wasted would be pretty high if you add in the 2nd Round pick for Rosen.
Thankfully, the odds with the Best Football Betting Software are very good that they won’t miss on a player because there are too many good options available. Still, ‘the problem’ is because of the extra value attached to the Phins 6th Round pick, Miami must do better than ‘good”.
Digging into the option at #6
Sewell is a physical freak with incredible agility and strength… but, he is a bit of a project and missed last season. Remember, Miami invested blue chips in 2nd RD Hunt and 1st RD Jackson. If the Phins draft Sewell and all three offensive linemen turn into quality players, the Phins will get priced out of one or two when their second contract comes around in a few years. This isn’t smart shopping with that many high-value draft assets.
Remember, Miami also appears to be in desperate need of a Center.
So, while Sewell (or possibly Rashawn Slater) is an excellent prospect, no way do I think spending all the picks it took to get back to #6 makes drafting Sewell the wisest move.
Now, I love the offensive line and know it’s the key to success in the NFL, so I wouldn’t hate either Slater or Sewell. I’m just not certain they offer the best value.
What I’m not big on is drafting receivers in the Top 10… unless they scream super special. Ja’Marr Chase has a ton of great qualities and could very well be excellent… still, at 6’0” he doesn’t bring elite size. Size is a huge X-factor at the receiver position and makes life a whole lot easier. Yes, plenty of excellent receivers hover around the 6’0” mark, so I’m not knocking Chase. But, I just can’t see how Chase is a better bet than Pitts.
Look at the receivers taken over the last ten years of draft. Few have been taken Top 10 and not many of them have been worth the price tag:
Worthy Top 10 Picks at Receiver
- Julio Jones 6th Overall
- Mike Evans 7th Overall
- A.J. Green 4th Overall
Unworthy Top 10 Picks at Receiver
- Sammy Watkins #4
- Corey Davis #5
- Mike Williams #7
- John Ross #9
- Amari Coopers #4
- Kevin White #7
- Tavon Austin #8
- Justin Blackmon #5
Some Worthy Receiver Pick outside Top 10
- Justin Jefferson 22nd Overall
- Brandin Cooks 20th Overall
- Odell Beckham Jr. 12th Overall
- Stefon Diggs in the 5th Round.
Tight End / Wide Receiver Kyle Pitts is 6’6” 245lbs and runs a 4.4 forty. At 6 inches taller and near 40lbs heavier, Pitts ran only .06 seconds less than Chase. Pitts has the ability to play the X, Y, and Z receiver at some level of competency and is a quality route runner with an insane wingspan. All of this is backed by the high production of a rare college career. Bookmaking Guidelines – Learn How to Read Them and Use Them.
Unique is the best way to describe Pitts. Of all the players in the draft, the description of unique might fit him best. This is a great sign for that rare term generational talent. Generational talent certainly would be worth the haul to get to the 6th pick… Bookmaking Guidelines – How to Start-Up with ESL Sports Betting
… Question is will he be there when Miami picks?
P.S. Hey, guys… I was talked into doing some YouTube stuff. The video below was the genesis of this article:
