Friday was the first day of training camp for the Miami Dolphins, and all Phins news fans are hoping that this will be the season that the Dolphins finally get back to the playoffs. The fact is that the last time the Dolphins went to the playoffs was back in 2008, led by Chad Pennington, and if Joe Philbin and Ryan Tannehill want to keep their jobs they will have to make the playoffs.
Any football betting software fan will tell you that if you want to guarantee that you make the playoffs then you have to win your division. However, when your division includes Tom Brady and the Patriots, the odds are stacked high against you. On the best sportsbooks in the world, the Dolphins are +600 to win the AFC East compared with the New England Patriots, who are -350. Anything is possible, and you never know who will be injured in this upcoming season, but the Dolphins have an uphill battle if they are going to win the division. The first and most important step would be winning the first game at home against the Patriots. Then the Dolphins need to go at least 4-2 in the AFC East if they want a realistic chance of stealing the AFC crown from New England’s throne.
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The more realistic way for the Dolphins to make the playoffs is by earning one of the two wild-card berths. I would say that it is going to be a crowded group including San Diego, Kansas City, anyone who does not win the AFC North (Steelers, Bengals, Ravens, possibly even Browns), Texans (don’t be surprised if they rebound strongly from last year’s debacle) and even though I hate to say it, the Jets. Of those teams, the Dolphins will play the Chiefs, Chargers, and Baltimore at home, and split with the Jets home and away. There is a high probability that the results of those 5 AFC games, will end up being the difference in the Dolphins making the playoffs or not.
If the Dolphins want to be in the Playoffs they are going to have to earn it, and the way that is going to happen is if they win the above crucial games. You make the playoffs by beating other playoff contenders. The Dolphins made a small step last season by beating 4 of the 6 teams that ended up in the playoffs. However, the Dolphins forgot one other thing; they must beat the scrub teams which they did not do by losing to the Bucs, Jets, and Bills twice. So even though the 5 AFC games highlighted above are very important, the Dolphins must not look past their games against the Raiders, Jaguars, Vikings, Bills, and Jets this season. The Dolphins should be in the mix in December, but they are going to have to take the next step together as a team if they want to be playing football in January.
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