Risk of Banking on the ‘Tank’: Chase Young Suspended
OSU suspended star pass rusher Chase Young for an indefinite period of time
With the suspension of star pass rusher Chase Young, another ‘top pick’ in the 2020 Draft is having turbulence.
According to Adam Wells of the Bleacher Report, ” Per Austin Ward of LettermenRow.com, Young faces an indefinite suspension that could keep him out for the rest of this season, but Ohio State is “optimistic” he will be able to return in 2019. “
This isn’t the end of the world for Young’s stock and will have little impact on where he will be drafted if he does return in 2019.
Young has responded to the suspension in an exemplary manner:
“Unfortunately, I won’t be playing this week because of an NCAA eligibility issue. I made a mistake last year by accepting a loan from a family friend I’ve known since the summer before my freshman year at OSU. And I repaid it in full last summer and I’m working with the University and NCAA to get back on the field as soon as possible. I want to thank my family teammates, coaches, and the whole Ohio State community for all the love and support. God bless and go Bucks!”
But, add in the two surgically repaired ankles of Tua and two of the ‘certain stars’ are a bit less ‘certain’.
This is just part of the reason why Front Offices and fans that bank on tanking to turn a franchise around could end up with buyers remorse. The sage wisdom of ‘a bird in the hand is worth two in a bush’ is sage wisdom for a reason.
The only sure thing in football is a win.
There’s is so much that needs to go right a college player to actually be worth the top pick. History has shown, it’s far more likely that they won’t.
A team that ‘tanks’ naturally or due to a decision must deal with these variables:
- What happens to a player leading up to the draft, whether from injury or level of performance?
- Do they actually enter the draft or return to school for another year?
- Do they even want to play for the tanking team?
- And the very real question of ‘will they be any good in the NFL’?
Consider ALL the #1 Overall picks that failed to equal their lofty draft status
- 2018 Baker Mayfield QB
- 2017 Myles Garrett DE
- 2016 Jared Goff QB
- 2015 Jameis Winston QB
- 2014 Jadeveon Clowney DE
- 2013 Eric Fisher OT
- 2012 Andrew Luck QB
- 2011 Cam Newton QB
- 2010 Sam Bradford QB
- 2009 Matthew Stafford QB
- 2008 Jake Long OT
- 2007 JaMarcus Russell QB
- 2006 Mario Williams DE
- 2005 Alex Smith QB
- 2004 Eli Manning QB
- 2003 Carson Palmer QB
- 2002 David Carr QB
- 2001 Michael Vick QB
- 2000 Courtney Brown DE
- 1999 Tim Couch QB
- 1998 Peyton Manning QB
- 1997 Orlando Pace OT
- 1996 Keyshawn Johnson WR
- 1995 Ki-Jana Carter RB
- 1994 Dan Wilkinson DT
- 1993 Drew Bledsoe QB
- 1992 Steve Emtman DT
- 1991 Russell Maryland DT
- 1990 Jeff George QB
By my rough calculations, the hit on the #1 Overall is about 30%. Those odds aren’t a great bet with the pay per head sites like www.AcePerHead.com considering the massive cost it takes to get that draft choice.
I understand fans who want the ability to have the first choice in the draft. But, while it can be a powerful card to hold, the hit rate is iffy at best.
With plenty of time left for injuries, off the field issues, and poor performances to change the Top 5 landscape, I’m rooting for Miami to get as much of the only sure things they can: WINS. Let’s hope we get number two this week against the Colts. Go Phins!!!
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Admin your rough calculations, the hit on the #1 Overall is about 30%, yes Sir Agree.
Here is my questioned Do you think that the Coaches determined what type player they draft by their own abilities? Does this means leaving the best player on the board because the Coaches cannot make adjustment for that player skills?
John Harbaugh specifically brought in a offensive mind that coach the Pistol offense to the Supper Bowl under the 49er’s and he know’s exactly how to utilized Lamar Jackson skill set. This is Coaching 101.
Harbaugh is a damn fine coach. Not the talent evaluator or overall architect that Bill is, but as good a coach for sure. I’m very impressed with Jackson and how Harbaugh uses him and built around him.
LSU AND BAMA
Tua is injured and probably not in his best interest to play so early?
I would say with Alabama backup QB Mac Jones and their defense will be enough to beat
LSU Joe Burrow’s.
Is that confirmed? I agree he likely won’t play.
Admin Nice Article and right on!
This is why I strongly believed that Jalen Hurst is the Best Fit for the Dolphins. He has not been injured,He has not missed any games, His character is pretty good and most of he has shown to handle adversity well,Jalen has played 50 college football games with Alabama and Oklahoma losing only 3 games. This lost against Kansas State
48-41 upset victory over quarterback Jalen Hurts.
Stats QB Jalen Hurts (OU): 19-of-26 passing, 395 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT; 96 rushing yards, 3 TD
In the first half against UCLA, the Sooners’ quarterback has 204 passing yards and 141 rushing yards. Hurts becomes the first Oklahoma player to ever pass for 200 yards and rush for 100 in the first half.
Heading into this game, Hurts was the only player in the country to have 500 yards of passing and 200 yards of rushing. One would think that he will be the only player in the country to now have 700 yards of passing and 300 yards of rushing.
Admin he gets no respect: Best fit for the Dolphins (Don’t be afraid of success)Sad to see the Raven draft Hurst having already Jackson to really dominant the NFL the Decade or more?
Thanks, Steve. Actually I’m hoping we get the 4th so it’s enough to have a team want to trade up for it and not low enough that an excellent player is too tempting to not trade…. although based on today, I might change my mind if Burrow is available. Need to watch Hurts… As I’ve said, evaling college QBs is the hardest to do and my weakest skill.
Hello Admin & Dol-Fans
Last night game LSU and Alabama had the crowd of more than 100,000
LSU-Florida was ESPN’s most-watched college football game in nearly two years, network says
OCT 15, 2019
The televised football game on CBS against Auburn in Death Valley drew 7.175 million viewers. This was a 13 percent increase in viewership over last year’s comparable game, Georgia vs. Florida.
Just three weeks ago, the LSU vs. Florida game on ESPN was the most-watched college football game on the network in nearly two years. The game averaged around 6.45 million viewers.
How does that relate to the Dolphins community?
NFL: 10 Most Watched Monday Night Football Games of All Time by Colleen Casey on January 14, 2016
6 (tied). Dallas at Miami, December 17, 1984 (share: 40 percent, rating: 25.1)
4 (tied). Philadelphia at Miami, November 30, 1981 (share: 40 percent, rating: 25.3)
1. Chicago at Miami, December 2, 1985 (Share: 46 percent, rating: 29.6)
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Dolphins-Steelers ESPN’s lowest rated Week 8 game since 2004 BY PAULSEN OCTOBER 29, 2019
Dolphins-Steelers averaged a 6.0 rating and 9.98 million viewers on the Week 8 edition of ESPN’s Monday Night Football, marking the network’s lowest rated Week 8 game since 2004 (49ers-Bears: 5.5) and least-watched since 2005 (Bills-Patriots: 9.70M).
Miami go 0-3 in their primetime trifecta, but they looked abysmal during that run. In this three-game stretch, Miami was outscored by a total of 112-45. by Eric Frosbutter 1 year ago FINSIDED
The 2017 Dolphins have really struggled in prime time
3
And the Patriots are prepared to pounce.
By Rich Hill@PP_Rich_Hill Dec 11, 2017, 1:00pm EST
After earning a wild card slot in 2016, the NFL scheduling thought it would make sense for the Miami Dolphins to have more opportunities to play in prime time for 2017. Let’s just say that the faith in Miami hasn’t been rewarded.
In week 4, the Dolphins “hosted” the New Orleans Saints in London. They lost 20-0.
In week 8, they went on the road to play the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. Miami lost 40-0.
In week 9, Miami hosted the Oakland Raiders on Sunday night. The Dolphins lost 27-24.
And in week 10, the Dolphins went on the road to play the Carolina Panthers on Monday night. They lost 45-21.
In those four games where they were the only game playing, Miami went 0-4 with an average score of 33.0-11.3. Even if you don’t include the London game, they’re 0-3 with an average score of 37.3-15.0.
Now, Miami is about to host the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football and they have no explanation for why they’ve struggled in the spotlight.
Back to present time Last night November 10,2019 LSU and Alabama played one another and if Miami is serious about a prime time QB they have their choice of Tua or Burrow’s Until they are proven in the NFL there will be debates who is the better for the Dolphins?
The true issue is how serious are the Dolphins? are is it just false hope for the Fans?
Admin
Eli I disagree because of his two Super Bowl wins.
Manning was one of four quarterbacks taken in the first round of the 2004 NFL Draft along with Ben Roethlisberger, Philip Rivers, and J. P. Losman. Manning, Roethlisberger, and Rivers have all been voted to the Pro Bowl since becoming starters
Class of 2004 QBs vs. Tom Brady in the playoffs
QB Playoff record vs. Brady
Eli Manning—2W, 0L
Ben Roethlisberger–0W, 2L
Philip Rivers—0W, 2L
Eli wasn’t bolded… only bolded players were underachievers. If not for those two SBs he would have been bolded. But those two games made his pick well worth it.