Site icon Phins News

Vegas & 10,000 Simulations Predict Doom For Phins

Vegas says the Phins 2018 Season is destined for the crapper…


…Of course, Vegas predicted the same thing in 2016

We all know what ESPN thinks about the Miami Dolphins chances of success, year after year. Phinsnews has ‘waxed poetic’ on them in the past. Now we can add Vegas and the Action Network’s 10,000 simulations to the list of this year’s doomsayers. Various pay per head reviews like AcePerHead.com have just released their line for each NFL team’s regular season win totals. The Dolphins are near the bottom of the barrel with a total of 6 measly games at -140. Action Network took it a step further and ranked us dead last in the league with 3 wins for 2018!

For most, the Dolphins 2018 Season is already flushed down the crapper

From a betting standpoint, this means if you think the Dolphins will win more than 6 games you will need to risk $140 to win a 100.

Phinsnews doesn’t buy these prognostications in the least–especially Action Network’s ludicrous 3 wins. We at Phinsnews are bucking the trend and seeing a 2016esque ‘beating of the Vegas odds’. Although, it’s still too early say if it will be double-digit wins and the postseason like Gase’s inaugural outing.

Let’s be sober about this:

The Dolphins won 6 games last season without their starting QB, a wreaked Offensive Line, coke-head coach, and a ton of catastrophic events. But with Tannehill back, a load of quality moves, minus black-cat luck, and a bye week they will end up with the same record?

No way!

Let the faithful begin an around the clock prayer vigil against evil Vegas

Now Phinsnews can’t say how many wins it will be… yet. But it will be sure as hell more than 3!

It’s frustrating that the oddsmakers aren’t predicting Miami to do better, now that Tannehill’s back as the starter. Maybe Vegas is factoring that Tannehill won’t be able to stay healthy for the full season? Maybe the lack of belief in the backups adds to this dour win total?

If that’s the case they did a poor job of with their medical review in 2017.

Last season the Dolphins win total was 7.5 wins (-125) with Tannehill’s knee not undergoing surgery. So how the heck are they predicting less now?

The departure of Suh, Landry, Pouncey, and Ajayi are likely the culprit. It is a lot of production and talent out the door.

A ton of pieces were added to the team this offseason to fill the void of departed stars

But most of these losses have been attacked in the offseason. Drake and Gore is a better combo than Ajayi and Williams. And Sitton and Kilgore is a much better combo than Pouncey and Larsen. Even the Landry loss has been mitigated with the addition of Danny Amendola, Albert Wilson, and Mike Gesicki.

The only real missing piece that hasn’t been addressed with both barrels is Suh.

Miami will be the underdog in most of the games they play. The odds for the Dolphins this season are currently:

  1. Winning the AFC East: +1200
  2. To win AFC Conference: +5,000
  3. To just make the playoffs: +525
  4. A Super Bowl victory: +10,000

Either Gase and Miami will succumb to weight and reality of these predictions or will surprise a lot of folks.

Vegas has thrown Miami an early forecast bone, though. Maybe the worm is turning? Week 1 against Tennessee opened up with the Titans as the -2.5 point road favorite, but the line has pulled back to only -1 for the Titans. Still, given that Miami is home, this is saying the Phins will stink.

To end on a good note, long time Dolphins fans will remember all too well that the Dolphins often play better when they are the underdogs. Maybe all this negativity will give rise to a surprise season? We can only hope and pray. Go Fins!!! What are the rest of the Miami Dolphins News fans thoughts about this?

 

 

10 Bookie Tips:

  1. Is Pay Per Head legal?
  2. Sports Betting Software
  3. Start a Bookie Business
  4. PPH Software
  5. Best Sportsbook Software
  6. Sports Betting Platform Providers
  7. Starting a Bookie Service
  8. Breaking into the Sportsbook Business
  9. What is Pay Per Head?
  10. Is the Cheapest PPH the Best One for You?
Exit mobile version