We Need to Start out 6-2
Last year the Dolphins started out the season by beating the New England Patriots, who as every fan knows was the eventual Super Bowl Champs. That was a great way to start out the season, however, they failed to build on that momentum, and went on to lose the next two games against the Bills and Chiefs by a combined 38 points. Then Miami traveled to London and beat up the lowly Raiders. After the bye week they lost in the last second to Green Bay, and then went on a 3 game winning streak and beat the Bears, Jaguars, and Chargers. At the mid-way point of last season, they went a respectable 5-3.
That was a decent record and put them in a position to challenge for the playoffs, however, we all know how that turned out. Instead, they went 3-5 to finish out the season and missed out on the playoffs with an 8-8 record.
On paper this season, they have an easier schedule for the first 8 games, and they must come out strong. I know that the offense has a lot of new players, so it may take a little time to gel and get in rhythm, however, time is of the essence, and everyone needs to be sharp by the first whistle of the first game.
The first two games are against the Redskins and Jaguars and in both games, the pay per head bookie service sites like AcePerHead.comwill have the Dolphins as the favorite to win each game. There is no sugar coating the fact that the team and fans have high expectations this season, so anything less than 2-0 after those two games will be a disappointment.
In the next 4 games, Miami will play the Bills, Jets, Titans, and Texans, and each of those games is winnable games. There is no reason to believe that the phins can’t win at least 3 of those games, which means a realistic expectation, will be for Miami to be 5-1 entering their 7th game against the Patriots.
In the last two seasons, Miami has been able to split with the Patriots, and on paper, they have appeared to have closed the gap with the Patriots. However, it is one thing to do it on paper, and quite another thing to do it on the field, especially against a team like the Patriots, that have made a decade long career out of winning football games. So even though the Dolphins have a chance to win that game, most sportsbooks will be betting that they lose that game in Foxborough, so on the safe side let’s assume that game will be a loss. The 8th game will be at home against the Bills and should be another game that the Dolphins will be favored to win.
So realistically the Dolphins could and should start this season better than last year, and at least be 6-2 at the mid-way point of the season. Honestly, anything less than 6-2 is going to be a disappointment and will be a problem, because the second half of our season will get progressively harder because we will have to play teams like the Cowboys, Eagles, Ravens, Giants, Chargers, Colts and Patriots. Four of those teams made it past the first round of the playoffs, (Cowboys, Ravens, Colts, and Patriots), and two of those teams just missed making the playoffs. (Eagles and Chargers.) Also considering that the Dolphins have had a history under Philbin’s leadership of crashing at the end of the season, this makes the games in the 1st half of the season that much more important to win.
There are only 16 games in the NFL season, which is significantly less than the number of games in the other 3 major sports in the United States. (NBA, MLB, and NHL) That means there is a lot less room for error, which means that a team like the Dolphins that are in a Playoff or bust season, can not afford to lose games that they should win, so they must especially win those games early in the season against teams of lesser quality.
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These ten traits are the characteristics of a playoff team. I read this on another blog and I think they are if a team is ready for the playoff run. I don’t think we get “A’s”
in every category at all. I think some we do well in some but others we fail. I believe if they don’t address the OL we are in deep dodo. Number 3 (Fail) Fix no.10 and 6 gets better. Number 8 could be better Green Bay and Detroit last year. Fix No. 10 and 1 gets better.
1. Elite QB play
2. Turnover ratio
3. Get hot at the end of the season
4. Have good depth
5. Have good Special Teams
6. Be good in the red zone on both offense and defense
7. Be able to win on the road
8. Win the 4th quarter in games
9. Have a great pass rush
10. Have a good offensive line
I think 10 is definitely are weakest of the bunch, and then the next would be 3, which is something we have failed to do for many many years
I worry about 10 mostly when playing in our division. Dt’s of Bills and Jets can really hurt us. If we can get a home field advantage back it could help with 3 because of our schedule. 4 could be trouble also if we lost any of our few probowlers