What does Kiper Know?

Jimmy Bourbon

10 years ago

Mel Kiper has been analyzing and dissecting college players for the past 31 years since 1984. He has become synonymous with the term Draft Guru, and his knowledge of college players over the years has been encyclopedic. However, as much as he is a student of the draft he has had his fair share of head-scratching predictions. His latest head-scratcher is his “ideal” picks for the Phins in the first and second rounds.

For the first round, his ideal pick for Miami is Nelson Agholor, the wide receiver from USC, who is 6’0”, 198 pounds and ran the 40 in 4.42 seconds. Most sports betting software fans as www.AcePerHead.com are projecting Agholor as a 2^nd or 3^rd round pick and as the 9^th best receiver. Unless Kiper thinks that Miami is going to trade back to the late twenties, then drafting Agholor at the number 14^th position is a reach and a half. Yes, we need a receiver, but not the 9^th best receiver with the 14th overall pick. Agholor has some nice stats he logged last season with 104 receptions for 1,313 yards and 12 touchdowns, but he has been prone to dropping passes. However, his biggest strengths are that he is a good route runner, and has run after the catchability. Either way, I would not be happy if Miami selected him with the 14th pick. If all the top receivers are off the board, then they should select a Linebacker, Guard, or Todd Gurley before they select Agholor.

For the second round, Kiper’s ideal pick is for the Phins to select Quinten Rollins the Safety from Miami of Ohio, who is 5’11”, weighs 195 pounds and ran the 40 in 4.57 seconds. At least with Rollins, he is projected to be a 2^nd or 3^rd round pick, so at least this ideal pick is not a Stretch Armstrong type reach. Rollins was the 2014 MAC Defensive Player of the Year with 72 tackles, with 4 tackles for a loss, 1 forced fumble, 7 interceptions and 9 passes defended. He is a raw player, but he is very athletic as evidence that he was a two-sport star in both Football and Basketball, and with the right coaching he could be a very good starting Safety. This would definitely be a more acceptable pick than Kiper’s first-round pick, however, Rollins is projected to be more of free safety, and if we were to draft a safety it would be wiser to draft a strong safety type, who could back up the porcelain Louis Delmas.

To put it bluntly, I will say that I hope the Dolphins do not follow Kiper’s advice, because I definitely do not like his first-round pick at all, and his second-round pick is not even at a position of need. There are plenty of other very talented players that will be available for Miami when they are on the clock in the first and second rounds. What do the rest of the Miami Dolphin News fans think about Kiper’s “ideal” picks for the Phins?

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