Will Bye Week Make A Better Phins or Better Tank?

Can the Phins become something other than a joke in 2019?

The Phins kindly decided to show up for the 1st Half of the Chargers game. But, they also decided to spoil the end of that half with mistakes and implode the 2nd Half… again.

In the end, the Charges branded another blowout loss on the Dolphins debacle of a season.

That’s four in row for those who’ve fallen asleep already.

The Dolphins are the punchline for most jokes about the NFL.

I’m tired of the hack writers at Deadspin (and some others) using the low-hanging Phins as the springboard for their tired agenda. Nothing would make me prouder than seeing Flores give them the big ‘heigh-ho’ middle finger by kicking off a string of wins.

At this point though, Miami has earned their role as a pinata for derision…

… So, the Phins and their fans have to take it on the chin…

… Again.

Jimmy Bourbon has embraced the ‘tank’ the best he can by focusing on Rosen. I’ve been crunching tape to find a silver lining and something to talk about. Like so many other dolphins fans, each in our own way, we have done what we can to absorb the ugliest season since 2007.

The ‘last carrot on the end of the stick’ for 2019 hangs on Week 6

While I’ll continue to crunch the tape till the season’s end (and beyond), the tenor of my tone will take a harsh turn if Week 6 doesn’t bring substantial change.

I believed Brian Flores when he said there wasn’t a tank… but so far, the results say otherwise. Is Brian Flores an honest man, a huckster, or putting on a smile as the Titanic sinks?

Now, I’m not talking about winning a Super Bowl or anything substantial in 2019. I never believed, even as a stretch goal, in some grand Cinderella season. My floor has always been 6 wins.

Why 6 wins my barometer?
  • The bookie website services 2019 win total is 4-.5 wins, anything less is underachieving. That would be an absolute reflection of the staff… unless they are liars and tankers. Getting 6 wins would show the ability to get more with less. This is the only way to win a Super Bowl down the road.
  • All the blue-chip picks in the world won’t mean squat when ‘coached down’ by an unqualified staff.
  • Grier’s team-building process is based on ‘coaching up’ later picks, undervalued FAs, and UDFAs. An average or sub-par staff won’t be able to do this with enough consistency to matter.
  • The 2019 team has been built of said ‘later picks, undervalued FAs, and UDFAs’. If they are the ‘gems among the trash’ Flores and Grier evaluated them as then they should gain strength slowly. If they don’t, this won’t bode well for future evaluations–no matter how many they have.
Nietchze, “Students with good teachers gain strength slowly, and those with bad teachers struggle in vain.”

Okay, there has been roster turnover and trimming, injuries, and a tough schedule as mitigating factors. Most of those asterisks won’t mean diddly-do against the Washinton Redskins.

Miami’s next game will be the moment of truth.

Coming off the bye against a terrible team, if Miami fails to notch the win, the ceiling of future success is lower in my eyes. The statistic of the win itself means nothing to the grand picture (unless the tank is really on), but the inability by the staff to get the win will mean a ton.

Week 6 through the end of the season is the Phins battle of Thermopylae. While the historical engagement itself determined little about the future freedom of Greece, the resilience, tenacity, and will to stand against insurmountable odds served as a rallying cry that galvanized a fractured country. Despite the defeat of the 300 Spartans (and thousand or so other Greeks), the effort meant everything. Similarly, a solid showing this season despite a weak squad would lend much-needed mojo to this staff, franchise, and tired fanbase going into 2020.

This franchise and its fans need everything they can get.

For those who pay attention to Twitter and such, notice how quiet all the boo-birds writers have been in the 1st Half of the last two games. All their ‘brave and brilliant quips’ throughout the week only reappear mid 2nd Half… when it’s safe to come out again. Typical and gutless.

An offseason them swallowing crow would be a sweet hors d’oeuvres to the ton of picks coming our way.

Silver lining time… and the last for 2019–if Phins lose

Patterns are quality ‘proof’ of trajectory. The near-exact replication of play in Week 1 in Week 2 and again in Week 3 and Week 4 does show an upward trend. Is it a pattern or quirky anomaly? There is a bit of consistency in the chaos, but it will only be confirmed as positive if the Phins win against the Skins.

The crumbs of improvement
  • Josh Rosen looks to be the best QB in aqua since Chad Pennington and is improving. Nothing definitive yet, but the potential is clear to be at least pretty good. As a trade chip or future QB, his success if important.
  • Despite injuries and player shuffle, the Offensive Line is improving.
  • DeVante Parker is showing more than expected. He still has a long way to go, but his run blocking and receiving was tremendous Week 1.
  • Raekwon McMillan is showing improvement and production.
  • DTs Wilkens, Jenkins, and Godchaux have shown plenty.
  • Taco Charlton has played well and shown high effort.
  • Miami did well with their Practice Squad stashing as Isaiah Ford proved this week.
  • Preston Williams is a steal and is being developed well.
  • Mark Walton has shown flashes in the snaps Phinsnews hoped he’d get. He could end up another steal earned on the cheap.
  • Durham Smythe is quietly making strides and earned more snaps than O’Leary this week.
  • Evan Boehm and Isaiah Prince showed talent in the run game.
  • Gamplans have been good last two games, of course, conversely, Half Time adjustments haven’t.

I’m hoping that Eleanor Roosevelt‘s quote embodies the rest of the season:

“You gain strength, courage, and confidence by every experience in which you really stop to look fear in the face. You are able to say to yourself, ‘I have lived through this horror. I can take the next thing that comes along.’ You must do the thing you think you cannot do.”

…. Rather than Friedrich Nietzsche‘s:

“I’m not upset that you lied to me, I’m upset that from now on I can’t believe you.” 

I get the raw rationale of getting the Top pick in the 2020 Draft. I do. But, if the only way this regime can be successful is to get the top pick, then at best they a group of middling minds… and they will likely aquire more duds than studs.

Off to study and cuts some tape. Go Phins!!!


 

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6 comments

  • Van Hamlin

    There are teams on the Dolphins schedule that an improving team might beat. The Dolphins have no bench so injuries will play a huge roll in our final record. Flores and company must continue to work with the castoffs and the journeymen to build a roster that can win at least one game. I suspect that Mr. Ross is praying for a 0-16 season. He wants the round 1 – #1 pick. If he doesn’t watch it he will have a pretty good QB in Josh Rosen. He might want to wait and tank in 2021 too. He could build his o-line now and eventually pick up Trevor Lawrence – WOW Mr. Ross that would be bigger than Fergie or Jay-lo. Oky maybe not as big as Jay-lo, but close!

    • admin

      Great post, Van… laughed pretty hard. Jay-lo!
      Ross might be dreaming of #1 pick, but the reality of it might not end up as he dreams. Is Tua above average at least, likely. Is he great probably not. Nothing against him, but very few QBS are great. Will he be that much better than Rosen? I don’t know. But, if you go 0-16 and draft him he better be. Look at Luck. Better QB, but wasn’t that good in the NFL. Put up yards and such, but folded under the pressure. I don’t like the idea of selling your soul for a single player. We’ll see… but if they do go 0-16, this group isn’t who I thought they were. Maybe it will end well… but I’ll be less confident.

  • Steve

    Admin

    Admin why can’t the dolphins just quietly loose without all of the tanking noise around the league. There are other teams worst than the dolphins who are not drawing the attention that the Dolphins are. Dol-Fans need not think because we are losing we will get the number one picked. We have to do a better job of losing for the number one picked.

    Taken from Dan Parr NFL
    Original Content Editor The order and needs will evolve as we go along. Stay tuned. It’s going to be a rather inglorious ride.

    PICK

    1

    Redskins
    Record: 0-4 (.625 strength of schedule)
    This week’s game: vs. Patriots
    Biggest needs: OL, CB, TE

    When your star left tackle no longer wants to play for you, your CB1 is in decline and your TE1 can’t stay healthy … we could go on. Troubling times.

    PICK

    2

    Broncos
    Record: 0-4 (.625)
    This week’s game: at Chargers
    Biggest needs: CB, interior D-line, OL

    The Broncos’ top cornerback, Chris Harris Jr., will turn 31 in June and is an impending free agent. Three of their four starting defensive linemen ( Derek Wolfe, Shelby Harris and Adam Gotsis) are in the final year of their deals and Denver’s leading receiver (Emmanuel Sanders) is due for free agency in 2020, too.

    PICK

    3

    Bengals
    Record: 0-4 (.667)
    This week’s game: vs. Cardinals
    Biggest needs: QB, OL, WR

    Andy Dalton seems like a nice man, but he probably shouldn’t be an NFL team’s QB1 anymore. This is another one of those teams with so many needs that it seems silly to list just three, but that’s what we’re doing. Sorry.

    PICK

    4

    Dolphins
    Record: 0-4 (.688)
    This week’s game: On bye
    Biggest needs: QB, OT, edge rusher

    I’m not at all certain that Josh Rosen isn’t a QB worth building around, but I’m including the position as a need because it doesn’t appear this is a franchise committed to him as the guy for 2020. Until a couple weeks ago, coaches viewed Ryan Fitzpatrick as the better option. There are needs everywhere here, though, as you might have heard.

    PICK

    5

    Jets
    Record: 0-3 (.750)
    This week’s game: at Eagles
    Biggest needs: OL, edge rusher, CB

    The Jets haven’t invested a first- or second-round pick in an offensive lineman since 2010. (Never forget Vlad Ducasse, who started five games in four seasons!) I think Sam Darnold would agree it’s past time for the club to end that streak. There are several needs we could have mentioned here, and things get even more interesting if impending free agents Leonard Williams and Robby Anderson aren’t re-signed.

    PICK

    6

    Cardinals
    Record: 0-3-1 (.594)
    This week’s game: at Bengals
    Biggest needs: OT, offensive playmaker, edge rusher

    This is still one of the worst offensive lines in the league, and three of its five starters are ticketed for free agency in 2020. The focus, of course, has to be on giving Kyler Murray, who has already been sacked more this season than he was all last year at Oklahoma, a better supporting cast.

    PICK

    7

    Falcons
    Record: 1-3 (.500)
    This week’s game: at Texans
    Biggest needs: DL, S, RB

    It seems obvious that the Falcons and Vic Beasley (11.5 sacks in his last 34 games) are headed for a parting of ways. Beasley and fellow D-linemen Tyeler Davison, Jack Crawford and Adrian Clayborn are set to reach free agency in 2020. You wonder if a team that might need some cap relief will be ready to move on from Devonta Freeman, who has no guaranteed salary remaining on his deal after this season, per Over The Cap. Plus, will Keanu Neal be the same player after a second major injury in as many seasons?

    PICK

    8

    Dolphins (via Steelers)
    Steelers’ record: 1-3 (.667)
    This week’s Steelers game: vs. Ravens

    The Dolphins acquired this pick in the Minkah Fitzpatrick trade. See No. 4 for the Dolphins’ needs and the bottom section of this file for analysis of the Steelers’ needs.

    We can possibly gain three number picks within the top 20 picks that’s great man!

    • admin

      Yeah, saw the article. I hope they can evaluate QBs at a high level and don’t need to grab TUA with the first pick. I’m hoping Rosen does well enough that the Phins hand isn’t forced. I’d like to see the grab a QB later and either trade back or a pass rusher early. I just don’t see Tua being a lock elite QB. He might be, but look at Luck. Ultimately, he was a loss of the Colts… and looked how highly rated he was.

      • Steve

        Yeah!

        Understand that! Many teams are not ready for that elite QB. Just think if Tom Brandy was a Dolphins he would have failed here because of the systems that have been set up for a QB.

        1. Tua is all that plus some but football is a team sport and a team sport works under a system that will
        enhanced each players strength. Look at how the dolphins are trying to get Rosen murdered each Sunday without the proper protection.

        • admin

          I’m working on Jimmy’s article now about Tua. Never saw the kid play… but his receivers are beats from what Jimmy is saying. Watched Fromm and his arm is pretty flimsy. Watched Jalen too. His competition sucked. I watched a video of Tua in a presser and liked his personality… he’s up next to watch. It’s so hard for me to judge…