‘Vegas’ Gives Phins Some Love… But Not Much

Fans are high on the 2021 Season, but the oddsmakers think other wise

While most Miami Dolphins fans are pretty high on the 2021 Season, the money makers aren’t giving the Phins much hope for real success this year. Despite ‘Vegas’ getting it right more often than not, they were very wrong about Miami in 2016 and 2020 where the Phins went to the playoffs and notched double digit wins, respectively. So, let’s take these current odds with a grain of salt and keep our heads up because nothing is etched in stone at this point.

Will Brian Flores & the 2021 Phins beat the odds?

The good news is Vegas and the best pay per head demo services are giving the Miami Dolphins the second-best odds to win the division at +325. The Bills have quite the advantage at -155, but considering all the moves the Patriots made in the offseason, these odds are a small positive. Even though the odds aren’t good for winning the division, which would be considered a sure-fire success, even a close second in the division would give a reason for a moral victory. The Patriots though are nipping at the Phins’ heels with +350 odds, so the money guys see this as a neck and neck race for runner-up in the AFCE.

Here are some more of the prognostications from ‘Vegas’:

Some Miami Dolphins trends & Sportsbook odds

  1. SportsLine Projection Model forecasted wins: 9.4
  2. 2021 Over/Under win total: 9
  3. Odds to win Super Bowl 56: +2800
  4. NFL MVP odds: Tua Tagovailoa +6000
  5. Winning AFC: +1400
  6. Winning AFC East: +340
  7. To reach the playoffs: No -150, yes +125

At +2800 odds, Miami has a 3% chance to reach the big game, while the best odds are with Kansas City at 12% and Tampa at 10%. Really though, most Phins fans wouldn’t be letdown if Miami didn’t get to the Super Bowl. But, given the Dolphins 2021 strength of schedule rank is 27th (opponents’ combined winning percentage of .471), not even getting billed to make the playoffs may feel like a real bummer.

I’m never a huge believer in odds at this early stage. So many things can go right and wrong before the season even starts. Still, it has me wondering about how to feel if these predictions end up being true? I will believe the 2021 Dolphins will shock the world again… until proven otherwise. — Advantages of Using a Pay Per Head Casino Software System.

What do the rest of the Phins News fans feel about the current odds for the Dolphins in the 2021 Season? — HOW TO MAKE FAST CASH FROM YOUR SPORTSBOOK BUSINESS.

4 comments

  • Stephen Fabrizio

    Totally true about Tua. I should have mentioned him. Yes, depending on how he plays, the season lies in balance. If Brisset needs to relieve Tua from time to time, then, we need to start looking to draft another QB! I agree that strength of schedule means nothing in the scheme of things. The league is very competitive and there really are not any truly bad teams.

    • admin

      Hey, brother… I don’t see Tua being less than slightly above average in time. I think building around his traits and giving him a year or two more is fine… I still think Plan B is wise. The young QB brings huge value when they can become good quick as this allows a huge amount of cap flexibility. Tua needs to be operating at a high level by next year for Miami to maximize his selection. Plenty of time… As I said, his arm stength/velocity is a big marker for me. I think if we see him look like 2018 Tua, it will all work out. Hope all si well.

  • Stephen Fabrizio

    Jimmy,

    Strength of schedule is very favorable. I think I saw 4th or 5th easiest. However to MJ’s point, out of the gate the firs 5 games are against; at Pats, Bills, Home, at Tampa, home Colts, and I maybe leaving out someone. I think wildcard vs. division title is very possible this year with 10 or 11 wins. However, Flores and Grier continue to have their foot on the gas pedal looking for talent and competition. As always, injuries will determine many things, but this team has done a good job of adding much needed depth which was always lacking in previous regimes. I know the team tried to sign off waivers Kerryon Johnson from Detroit. He was awarded to Philly. But this tells me that the team is in the market for a big beefly veteran RB that can run, catch, and hopefully block too. Apparently Fuller & Waddle really wowed the coaches and others with their blazing speed. If Jakeem Grant is still on the team, you can add his speed to the mix also. In the NFL speed does win! I am particularily pleased how the past two years a real emphasis has finally been made to win in the trenches!! Can’t enough for me to be said here. Go Fins!

    • admin

      This one was Jimmy’s last before he took off, Stephen… with my “stellar” editing, of course 🙂
      I don’t put much stock in last year’s win percentages. NFL teams can do sooooo much in an offseason. As an example: Falcons have Pitts and a news staff that players will play for; Jags have Lawrence, which is a huge upgrade; even the Jets will be better as they have anyone but Gase.

      The only easy games I see are Houston and Jets in Miami. Raiders are in Vegas and so are the Saints, which is a good team and great coach even if their QB situation is a mess. Maybe Giants in Miami is an easier type of game.
      Jags is a little sticky as they are home… but, we have the edge. I think this will be a much harder schedule than the win % of last year indicates.
      Don’t see Grant sticking. Waddle and Bowden can replace him and are more consistent. I’d rather keep Albert. I still think Doaks and Brown are good enough to support Ahmed and Gaskin. But, I could very well be wrong… we’ll see. For me, the Oline is far more crucial.

      “As always, injuries will determine many things, but this team has done a good job of adding much needed depth which was always lacking in previous regimes.”
      Totally agree here.
      It is going to be one heck of a season, Stephen!!!

      I’m on the fence about the outcome… once I see Tua throw, I’ll have a far better gauge. It’s all about him in 2021!